{"id":40635,"date":"2023-03-30T10:38:57","date_gmt":"2023-03-30T08:38:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2023\/04\/03\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-8\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T10:46:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T08:46:10","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2023\/03\/30\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-8\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despr\u00e9s d\u2019uns primers mesos de 2023 en qu\u00e8 semblava que els pitjors pron\u00f2stics de finals de 2022 no es materialitzarien de forma tan crua, des de principis de mar\u00e7 es van accentuar les tensions, tant geopol\u00edtiques com les derivades dels problemes en entitats financeres a diversos continents. El t\u00edtol de les previsions publicades per l\u2019OCDE a mitjans de mar\u00e7, \u201cUna recuperaci\u00f3 fr\u00e0gil\u201d, \u00e9s prou expressiu de l\u2019ambig\u00fcitat de la situaci\u00f3. Las previsiones econ\u00f3micas publicadas por la OCDE a mediados de marzo, bajo el expresivo t\u00edtulo \u201cuna recuperaci\u00f3n fr\u00e1gil\u201d, es suficientemente expresivo de la ambig\u00fcedad de la situaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<h4><strong><span style=\"color: #88add1;\">JUAN TUGORES QUES.<\/span> Catedr\u00e0tic d&#8217;economia de la Universitat de Barcelona<\/strong><\/h4>\n<hr \/>\n<p>La <span style=\"color: #88add1;\"><strong>Tabla<\/strong><\/span> adjunta resumeix els principals aspectes de les previsions, que inclouen una lleugera revisi\u00f3 a l\u2019al\u00e7a de la xifra per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial el 2023, fins al 2,6%, amb una projecci\u00f3 de lleugera millora per al 2024. Les economies avan\u00e7ades es revisen aix\u00ed mateix lleument a l\u2019al\u00e7a per al 2023, encara que amb Alemanya fregant la recessi\u00f3 (i el Regne Unit entrant-hi), si b\u00e9 les perspectives per al 2024 s\u00f3n desiguals, amb debilitats als Estats Units.<br \/>\nA la Xina s\u2019espera un repunt el 2023 associat a la reobertura despr\u00e9s dels dr\u00e0stics confinaments, encara que la continu\u00eftat per al 2024 es presenta m\u00e9s moderada, mentre que les dades per a l\u2019\u00cdndia mostren xifres millors. Per part seva, les estimacions per a R\u00fassia, sempre amb la incertesa de les dades (a part de les incerteses geoestrat\u00e8giques), mostrarien els impactes del conflicte militar.<br \/>\nEn conjunt, doncs, com resumeix el t\u00edtol del document de l\u2019OCDE, s\u2019esperen algunes millores en les perspectives de recuperaci\u00f3, si b\u00e9 febles i subjectes a unes incerteses que continuen altes i a les quals s\u2019afegeixen les fragilitats financeres recents<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40630 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CUADRO-CAT.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"821\" height=\"801\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CUADRO-CAT.jpg 821w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CUADRO-CAT-300x293.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CUADRO-CAT-600x585.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CUADRO-CAT-750x732.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 821px) 100vw, 821px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despr\u00e9s d\u2019uns primers mesos de 2023 en qu\u00e8 semblava que els pitjors pron\u00f2stics de finals de 2022 no es materialitzarien de forma tan crua, des de principis de mar\u00e7 es van accentuar les tensions, tant geopol\u00edtiques com les derivades dels problemes en entitats financeres a diversos continents. El t\u00edtol de les previsions publicades per l\u2019OCDE [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":40640,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"10841","hide":""}},"categories":[10839,10841,10815,10729],"tags":[113,2264,5905],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40635"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40635"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40635\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47518,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40635\/revisions\/47518"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}