{"id":43632,"date":"2024-02-12T11:36:31","date_gmt":"2024-02-12T10:36:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2024\/02\/12\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-9\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T09:00:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T07:00:11","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2024\/02\/12\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-9\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>L\u2019actualitzaci\u00f3 de previsions presentades per l\u2019FMI a finals de gener de 2024, les principals dades de les quals es resumeixen a la <span style=\"color: #829c92;\">Taula 1<\/span>, en l\u2019aspecte que fa refer\u00e8ncia al creixement econ\u00f2mic \u00e9s \u201cresilient per\u00f2 lent\u201d, i pel que fa a inflaci\u00f3, pronostiquen un \u201cdescens sostingut cap a l\u2019objectiu\u201d, amb mencions expl\u00edcites a l\u2019\u201caterratge suau\u201d buscat per les autoritats econ\u00f2miques.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span style=\"color: #829c92; text-transform: uppercase;\">Juan Tugores Ques. <\/span>Catedr\u00e0tic d\u2019Economia de la Universitat de Barcelona.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Davant la t\u00f2nica general d\u2019altres\u00a0Informes d\u2019organismes internacionals\u00a0publicats en les \u00faltimes setmanes, l\u2019FMI preveu per a 2024 \u201crepetir\u201d la\u00a0taxa de creixement\u00a0de 2023, un 3,1%, fet que suposa que la dada per a l\u2019any en curs sigui una revisi\u00f3 a l\u2019al\u00e7a de dues d\u00e8cimes respecte a les previsions de l\u2019octubre passat. Com sempre, l\u2019heterogene\u00eftat en favor de les economies emergents respecte a les avan\u00e7ades es mant\u00e9, per\u00f2 al voltant \u201cnom\u00e9s\u201d d\u2019un punt (menys que la\u00a0mitjana de les \u00faltimes d\u00e8cades), i aix\u00ed mateix les asimetries dins de cada grup de pa\u00efsos s\u00f3n notables, amb el cridaner pron\u00f2stic d\u2019una converg\u00e8ncia en taxes de creixement per a 2025 entre els Estats Units i l\u2019eurozona, a partir de situacions el 2023 en qu\u00e8 la\u00a0perfomance\u00a0europea, molt llastada per Alemanya, ha estat sensiblement inferior a la dels Estats Units. Dins de les economies emergents, l\u2019\u00cdndia segueix un ritme una vegada m\u00e9s superior al d\u2019una Xina que, malgrat les dificultats \u2013immobili\u00e0ries i d\u2019altres\u2013, es mant\u00e9 per sobre del 4%. Aix\u00ed mateix, val a destacar que, per regions, despr\u00e9s del primer lloc habitual d\u2019\u00c0sia, se situa l\u2019\u00c0frica subsahariana.<\/p>\n<p>Addicionalment es pot destacar la previsi\u00f3 que el comer\u00e7 internacional, despr\u00e9s d\u2019un l\u00e0nguid 0,4% de creixement el 2023, s\u2019anticipa per part de l\u2019FMI a ritmes del 3,3 i 3,6% per a 2024 i 2025, respectivament.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-43634 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"721\" height=\"761\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT.jpg 821w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT-284x300.jpg 284w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT-600x634.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT-750x792.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/TABLA-1-CAT-284x300@2x.jpg 568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La actualizaci\u00f3n de previsiones presentadas por el FMI a finales de enero de 2024, cuyos principales datos se resumen en la Tabla 1, en lo que hace referencia al crecimiento econ\u00f3mico es \u201cresiliente pero lento\u201d, y en lo relativo a inflaci\u00f3n, pronostican un \u201cdescenso sostenido hacia el objetivo\u201d, con menciones expl\u00edcitas al \u201caterrizaje suave\u201d buscado por las autoridades econ\u00f3micas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":43625,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""}},"categories":[10815,10729],"tags":[113,125,1048,1865,5117,5714,8008],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43632"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43632"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43632\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46441,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43632\/revisions\/46441"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}