{"id":43938,"date":"2024-05-15T10:23:13","date_gmt":"2024-05-15T08:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2024\/05\/15\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-10\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T08:58:56","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T06:58:56","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-10-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2024\/05\/15\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-10-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les previsions dels organismes internacionals per al 2024 i el 2025 combinen de diverses formes les refer\u00e8ncies a mod\u00e8stia, asimetries, resili\u00e8ncia i riscos. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Juan Tugores Ques. <\/span>Catedr\u00e1tico de Econom\u00eda de la Universidad de Barcelona.<\/strong><\/h4>\n
\n

Les dades publicades a l\u2019abril per l\u2019FMI, resumides al quadre 1, il\u00b7lustren aquestes caracter\u00edstiques. D\u2019una banda, l\u2019estimaci\u00f3 de creixement per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial es mant\u00e9 en el 3,2% per al trienni 2023-2025<\/span><\/strong>, la qual cosa, tot i ser una xifra inferior a la mitjana hist\u00f2rica, es considera que marca una \u201cresili\u00e8ncia\u201d davant les dificultats actuals, fins i tot amb una revisi\u00f3 a l\u2019al\u00e7a d\u2019alguna d\u00e8cima en comparaci\u00f3 al que es preveia per al 2024 a penes fa mig any.<\/p>\n

Aix\u00ed mateix, crida l\u2019atenci\u00f3 que s\u2019albira una traject\u00f2ria lleugerament m\u00e9s a l\u2019al\u00e7a per a les economies avan\u00e7ades que per a les emergents i en desenvolupament, un tret sobre el qual el Banc Mundial ha mostrat preocupaci\u00f3 per una pausa en la millora d\u2019aquest \u00faltim grup de pa\u00efsos. Tot i aix\u00f2, destaquen les asimetries: dins de les pot\u00e8ncies emergents continua preocupant la Xina i, encara que l\u2019\u00cdndia mostraria una certa desacceleraci\u00f3, els ritmes de dinamisme continuen sent molt destacats. Tanmateix, les dades per a l\u2019\u00c0frica subsahariana mostrarien una inflexi\u00f3 a l\u2019al\u00e7a.<\/p>\n

Respecte a les economies avan\u00e7ades, l\u2019FMI anticipa una din\u00e0mica inversa per als Estats Units i la zona euro, amb un creixement substancialment m\u00e9s elevat als Estats Units per al 2024 (a l\u2019espera fins i tot que Alemanya surti aquest any de la recessi\u00f3 del 2023), per\u00f2 les projeccions per al 2025 s\u00f3n a l\u2019al\u00e7a per a Europa i a la baixa per a uns Estats Units que hauran de digerir el resultat de les eleccions presidencials de finals del 2024<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les previsions dels organismes internacionals per al 2024 i el 2025 combinen de diverses formes les refer\u00e8ncies a mod\u00e8stia, asimetries, resili\u00e8ncia i riscos. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":43936,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"10736","hide":""}},"categories":[10815,10729],"tags":[1048,1865,5117,5714,8131],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43938"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43938"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43938\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43940,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43938\/revisions\/43940"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43936"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}