{"id":44463,"date":"2024-07-23T16:34:13","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T14:34:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2024\/07\/23\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-11\/"},"modified":"2025-07-10T08:58:30","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T06:58:30","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2024\/07\/23\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva  del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4><strong><span style=\"color: #829c92; text-transform: uppercase;\"><span style=\"color: #000080;\">Juan Tugores Ques.<\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">C<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">atedr\u00e1tico de econom\u00eda de la Universitat de<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> Barcelona.<\/span><\/h4>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Les previsions de l\u2019estiu de l\u2019FMI apunten a un creixement moderadament estable per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial encara que subjecte a riscos rellevants, entre els quals aquest organisme destaca, a m\u00e9s de les incerteses geoestrat\u00e8giques convertides ja en un cl\u00e0ssic, els dubtes sobre la continu\u00eftat de la desacceleraci\u00f3 de la inflaci\u00f3, els costos de les pol\u00edtiques fiscals i l\u2019evoluci\u00f3 dels fluxos comercials en un m\u00f3n amb distorsions a l\u2019al\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<p>Les perspectives m\u00e9s concretes, resumides a la taula 1, mostren unes xifres de 3,2-3,3% per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial, amb un diferencial a favor de les economies emergents una mica m\u00e9s modest que en \u00e8poques anteriors. <strong><span style=\"color: #000080;\">Entre les economies avan\u00e7ades s\u2019apunta a un cert alentiment per al 2025 als Estats Units<\/span> <\/strong>(sempre amb el dubte de les pol\u00edtiques del govern que sorgeixi de l\u2019elecci\u00f3 presidencial del novembre vinent) i una modesta recuperaci\u00f3 per a la zona euro amb Alemanya sortint de la recessi\u00f3 del 2023 i amb xifres d\u2019Espanya revisades a l\u2019al\u00e7a per al 2024. <span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Les previsions per al conjunt de les economies emergents i en desenvolupament es revisen en una d\u00e8cima<\/strong><\/span> (tant per al 2024 com per al 2025), i es moderen les pors a una desacceleraci\u00f3 a la Xina i l\u2019\u00cdndia. En canvi,<span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong> les perspectives per a Am\u00e8rica Llatina es revisen modestament<\/strong><\/span>, a la baixa per al 2024, per\u00f2 a l\u2019al\u00e7a el 2025, amb les expectatives sobre l\u2019evoluci\u00f3 a l\u2019Argentina. I \u00c0frica subsahariana, nom\u00e9s per darrere d\u2019\u00c0sia en previsions de creixement.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-44465 \" src=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/cuadro-cat-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/cuadro-cat-1.jpg 877w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/cuadro-cat-1-300x270.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/cuadro-cat-1-600x540.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/cuadro-cat-1-750x675.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les previsions de l\u2019estiu de l\u2019FMI apunten a un creixement moderadament estable per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial encara que subjecte a riscos rellevants, entre els quals aquest organisme destaca, a m\u00e9s de les incerteses geoestrat\u00e8giques convertides ja en un cl\u00e0ssic, els dubtes sobre la continu\u00eftat de la desacceleraci\u00f3 de la inflaci\u00f3, els costos de les pol\u00edtiques fiscals i l\u2019evoluci\u00f3 dels fluxos comercials en un m\u00f3n amb distorsions a l\u2019al\u00e7a. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":44461,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"10736","hide":""}},"categories":[10815,10729],"tags":[1048,5714,5916,10225,11410],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44463"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44463"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44463\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44469,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44463\/revisions\/44469"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44461"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}