{"id":45100,"date":"2025-03-04T11:44:38","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T10:44:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2025\/03\/04\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-12\/"},"modified":"2025-03-04T11:51:47","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T10:51:47","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2025\/03\/04\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"

Diverg\u00e8ncia i incertesa s\u00f3n els dos termes que repeteix l\u2019FMI en l\u2019actualitzaci\u00f3 a Perspectives econ\u00f2miques, publicades a principis d\u2019aquest 2025.<\/p>\n

Realment, l\u2019esdevenir geopol\u00edtic i tecnol\u00f2gic incert evidenciat a comen\u00e7aments d\u2019aquest any \u00e9s tan obvi com elevat, fins i tot en comparaci\u00f3 amb la \u201ccascada de riscos i reptes\u201d (G20 dixit) dels \u00faltims temps.<\/p>\n

Com reflecteixen les dades resumides a la taula, les projeccions globals de creixement se situen molt lineals, entorn d\u2019un 3,3%<\/span>, amb poques variants, aix\u00ed mateix, en les dades previstes tant per al conjunt de les economies avan\u00e7ades com el de les emergents. M\u00e9s significatives s\u00f3n les diverg\u00e8ncies dins de cada grup, amb la dualitat entre els Estats Units, amb previsions m\u00e9s elevades per\u00f2 a la baixa, i una eurozona amb xifres inferiors, per\u00f2 (que criden l\u2019atenci\u00f3 per a alguns), a l\u2019al\u00e7a, aix\u00ed com el Jap\u00f3. Que aquest pa\u00eds i Alemanya, dos dels motors exportadors de les economies industrialitzades, superin el 2025-2026 les xifres negatives del 2024 \u00e9s una estimaci\u00f3 que caldr\u00e0 esperar a veure confirmada, davant dels problemes estructurals de totes dues economies.<\/p>\n

En les economies emergents, cal assenyalar com l\u2019FMI avan\u00e7a una suau desacceleraci\u00f3 de la Xina<\/span> (molt allunyada de les hist\u00f2riques taxes de creixement de fa una o dues d\u00e8cades), mentre que l\u2019\u00cdndia mant\u00e9 el ritme elevat, juntament amb altres economies asi\u00e0tiques en ascens. Aix\u00ed mateix, les projeccions d\u2019aquest organisme apunten a una certa inflexi\u00f3 a l\u2019al\u00e7a tant per a l\u2019Am\u00e8rica Llatina com per a l\u2019\u00c0frica subsahariana<\/span>, a l\u2019expectativa que puguin valoraritzar les seves posicions i recursos estrat\u00e8gics dins de la complexa cru\u00eflla de l\u2019economia i geoestrat\u00e8gia mundials.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Diverg\u00e8ncia i incertesa s\u00f3n els dos termes que repeteix l\u2019FMI en l\u2019actualitzaci\u00f3 a Perspectives econ\u00f2miques, publicades a principis d\u2019aquest 2025. Realment, l\u2019esdevenir geopol\u00edtic i tecnol\u00f2gic incert evidenciat a comen\u00e7aments d\u2019aquest any \u00e9s tan obvi com elevat, fins i tot en comparaci\u00f3 amb la \u201ccascada de riscos i reptes\u201d (G20 dixit) dels \u00faltims temps. Com reflecteixen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":45099,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"bottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"10736","hide":""}},"categories":[10839,10840,10815,10729],"tags":[1048,5721,5748],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45100"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45100"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45100\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45102,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45100\/revisions\/45102"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45099"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}