{"id":49179,"date":"2026-04-29T09:19:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T07:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/2026\/04\/29\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-10\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T10:54:50","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T08:54:50","slug":"perspectiva-del-trimestre-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/2026\/04\/29\/perspectiva-del-trimestre-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectiva del trimestre"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A finals del mes de mar\u00e7 de 2026, l\u2019OCDE publicava una revisi\u00f3 del seu <em>Economic Outlook<\/em>, que incorporava les primeres estimacions de l\u2019impacte de la situaci\u00f3 a l\u2019Orient Mitj\u00e0 i les seves implicacions. El t\u00edtol d\u2019aquest informe era expl\u00edcit pel que representa al fet que els esdeveniments posaven a prova (podr\u00edem dir que \u201ctornaven a posar a prova\u201d) la resili\u00e8ncia de l\u2019economia mundial.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><span style=\"color: #000080;\">JUAN TUGORES QUES. <\/span>Catedr\u00e0tic em\u00e8rit d&#8217;economia de la UB<\/h4>\n<hr \/>\n<p>La taula resumeix les dades de creixement per al 2025 i les estimacions per al 2026 i el 2027. Les xifres d\u2019aquest \u201cescenari central\u201d suposen revisions, de moment, modestes a la baixa (de fet, per al conjunt de l\u2019economia mundial es mant\u00e9 la xifra del 2,9 per cent per al 2026 i nom\u00e9s es redueix en una d\u00e8cima la del 2027), per\u00f2 amb difer\u00e8ncies rellevants entre pa\u00efsos i \u00e0rees.<span style=\"color: #000080;\"> <strong>Les principals revisions a la baixa per al 2026 s\u00f3n les que afecten la zona euro (-0,4)<\/strong><\/span> i el Regne Unit (-0,5), aix\u00ed com Corea del Sud (-0,4). Les previsions inicials per a la Xina i l\u2019\u00cdndia es mantenen pr\u00e0cticament inalterades, mentre que, de manera destacada, es revisen a l\u2019al\u00e7a en 3 d\u00e8cimes les dels Estats Units per al 2026, tot i que a la baixa en 2 d\u00e8cimes per a aquest pa\u00eds el 2027.<\/p>\n<p>Malgrat la prud\u00e8ncia d\u2019aquest escenari base, <span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>l\u2019OCDE apunta que una major durada o gravetat del conflicte podria reduir el PIB mundial de manera m\u00e9s dr\u00e0stica, en 0,5 punts<\/strong>, mentre <strong>que la inflaci\u00f3 tamb\u00e9 augmentaria de manera m\u00e9s pronunciada<\/strong><\/span>. Incertesa, prud\u00e8ncia i resili\u00e8ncia a prova\u2026 un cop m\u00e9s<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-49181 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/CUADRO-CAT-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"694\" height=\"619\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/CUADRO-CAT-3.jpg 694w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/CUADRO-CAT-3-300x268.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/CUADRO-CAT-3-600x535.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 694px) 100vw, 694px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A finals del mes de mar\u00e7 de 2026, l\u2019OCDE publicava una revisi\u00f3 del seu Economic Outlook, que incorporava les primeres estimacions de l\u2019impacte de la situaci\u00f3 a l\u2019Orient Mitj\u00e0 i les seves implicacions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":49177,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false,"mc4wp_mailchimp_campaign":[],"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[]},"categories":[10839,10815],"tags":[113,5605,5905],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49179"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49179"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49179\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49184,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49179\/revisions\/49184"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.monempresarial.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}